BILL ANALYSIS                                                                                                                                                                                                    



                                                                  AB 2076
                                                                  Page  1

          ASSEMBLY THIRD READING
          AB 2076 (Shelley)
          As Amended May 18, 2000
          Majority vote 

           TRANSPORTATION      10-7        UTILITIES & COMMERCE      9-1   
           
           ----------------------------------------------------------------- 
          |Ayes:|Torlakson, Correa, Davis, |Ayes:|Wright, Pescetti,         |
          |     |Dutra, Firebaugh, Havice, |     |Calderon, Cardenas,       |
          |     |Longville, Nakano, Scott, |     |Papan, Reyes,             |
          |     |Strom-Martin              |     |Villaraigosa, Vincent,    |
          |     |                          |     |Wesson                    |
          |-----+--------------------------+-----+--------------------------|
          |Nays:|McClintock, Bates, House, |Nays:|Campbell                  |
          |     |Leach, Maldonado,         |     |                          |
          |     |Margett, Zettel           |     |                          |
          |     |                          |     |                          |
           ----------------------------------------------------------------- 
           APPROPRIATIONS      14-7                                          

           
           ----------------------------------------------------------------- 
          |Ayes:|Migden, Alquist, Aroner,  |     |                          |
          |     |Cedillo, Corbett, Davis,  |     |                          |
          |     |Kuehl, Papan, Romero,     |     |                          |
          |     |Shelley, Thomson, Wesson, |     |                          |
          |     |Wiggins, Wright           |     |                          |
          |     |                          |     |                          |
          |-----+--------------------------+-----+--------------------------|
          |Nays:|Campbell, Ackerman,       |     |                          |
          |     |Ashburn, Brewer,          |     |                          |
          |     |Maldonado, Runner, Zettel |     |                          |
          |     |                          |     |                          |
           ----------------------------------------------------------------- 
           SUMMARY  :  Requires the State Energy Resources Conservation and  
          Development Commission (CEC) to examine the feasibility of  
          operating a strategic fuel reserve and to report its findings to  
          the Legislature.  Specifically,  this bill  :  

          2)Requires CEC, no later than July 1, 2001, to examine the  
            feasibility of operating a strategic gasoline reserve to  
            insulate California consumers and businesses from substantial,  
            short-term price increases arising from refinery outages or  
            other similar supply interruptions.








                                                                  AB 2076
                                                                  Page  2


          3)Requires CEC to consult with other state agencies, including  
            but not limited to, the State Air Resources Board, when making  
            its examination.

          4)Provides that CEC shall examine and recommend an appropriate  
            level of reserves of gasoline.

          5)Provides that in no event shall the reserve be less than the  
            amount of refined gasoline that CEC estimates could be  
            produced by the largest California refiner over a two-week  
            period.

          6)Requires that CEC, when determining the appropriate level of  
            reserve, take into account all of the following:

             a)   Inventories of California-quality fuels or fuel  
               components reasonably available to the California market;

             b)   Current and historic levels of fuel inventories;

             c)   Availability and cost of storage of fuels; and,

             d)   Potential for future supply interruptions, price spikes,  
               and the costs thereof to California consumers and  
               businesses.

          2)Requires CEC to evaluate a mechanism to release gasoline from  
            the reserve that permits any customer to contract at any time  
            for the delivery of gasoline from the reserve in exchange for  
            a promise to return, within a time period established by CEC  
            but no longer than six weeks, an equal amount of gasoline that  
            meets California specifications and is produced from a source  
            outside of California.

          3)Requires CEC to evaluate reserve storage space from existing  
            facilities.

          4)Requires CEC to evaluate a reserve operated by an independent  
            operator that specializes in purchasing and storing gasoline  
            and is selected through competitive bidding.

          5)Requires CEC, upon finding that it would be feasible to  
            operate a strategic gas reserve, to report its findings to the  
            Legislature and request specific statutory authority and  








                                                                  AB 2076
                                                                  Page  3

            funding to establish the reserve.

           EXISTING LAW  requires CEC to develop contingency plans to deal  
          with possible shortages of electrical energy or fuel supplies.

           FISCAL EFFECT  :  According to the Assembly Appropriations  
          Committee analysis, costs of about $200,000, to CEC.

           COMMENTS  :  California has experienced a number of gasoline price  
          spikes since 1996.  Usually, these spikes are the result of  
          problems at California refineries.  There are 12 California  
          refineries (owned by eight companies) producing California's  
          unique Air Resources Board-approved reformulated gasoline  
          (CaRFG).  These refineries must operate at total capacity in  
          order to meet California's demand for gasoline.  Californians  
          use approximately 42 million gallons of gasoline per day.  If  
          there is even a 10% shortage in supply of gasoline, that  
          represents a loss in gasoline supply of 4.2 million gallons per  
          day.  Therefore, when there is a gasoline supply problem, such  
          as a refinery shutdown, the price of gasoline can rise  
          dramatically.  California refineries do not currently maintain  
          sufficient inventories to cover gasoline supply shortages.

          When there is a supply disruption, short-term reserves become  
          more valuable, and bidding wars to secure these supplies ensue.   
          The result can be gasoline prices that are $0.25 higher in  
          California than in the rest of the United States.  During the  
          last gasoline supply shortage, California imported approximately  
          10% of its fuel.  Out-of-state CaRFG comes from refineries in  
          the Gulf Coast or in Europe.  These supplies take approximately  
          four to six weeks to reach California. 

          Last year, Attorney General (AG) Bill Lockyer convened a task  
          force to discuss the high price of gasoline in California and to  
          develop possible approaches to solving the problem of high  
          prices.  This bill is a product of those discussions.  The AG is  
          the sponsor of this legislation.  According to the sponsor, "[a]  
          state-owned reserve within California's borders would blunt the  
          impact of gasoline price spikes driven by short-term operating  
          disruptions within the capacity-constrained California refining  
          sector."

            How big is the reserve?  The strategic reserve must be large  
          enough to have an impact on price and must be released quickly  
          if there is supply disruption.  In addition, if the supply is  








                                                                  AB 2076
                                                                  Page  4

          maintained by the state through an independent operator (rather  
          than the refineries), it can be filled with supply sources from  
          outside of the state's existing gasoline supply.  There is  
          concern that if the reserve were simply maintained by the  
          refineries, the supply of that reserve would come from existing  
          fuel production, thereby lowering the current supply of gasoline  
          and increasing the price.

          Reserve levels would probably be set at somewhere between 1.5  
          million and 3 million barrels of gasoline, which is  
          approximately a one to three days' supply of gasoline.  If  
          California lost the production of one large refinery for one  
          month, it would equal approximately three million barrels of  
          gasoline supply.

            How would the reserve be stored?  CEC would have to arrange  
          facilities to store gasoline because there is not currently  
          enough storage space dedicated to storing gasoline to  
          accommodate the reserve.  However, there is some storage space  
          now used for things such as fuel oil that could be converted to  
          store gasoline supplies.  This would provide enough capacity,  
          and would eliminate the need to build new storage facilities.   
          The gasoline could be stored for approximately six months, and  
          there are some additives that may be able to be added to  
          gasoline to increase the storage viability of gasoline, which  
          would allow it to be stored for one year or more.  However, more  
          study needs to be done on these additives and their ability to  
          increase the length of time gasoline can be stored.

          What would trigger the use of the reserves and how will the  
          reserve be replaced?  CEC would have to establish an automatic  
          release mechanism for the reserve.  The gasoline reserve would  
          be released immediately when there is a supply disruption in  
          order to prevent large price spikes.  It would be a market  
          trigger.  Potentially, the state could provide a California  
          refinery with supply from its reserve at any time.  The refinery  
          would then have to replenish the reserve with CaRFG produced  
          from outside of California for the contracted amount.  It is the  
          intent of the author that the reserve be operated by an  
          independent operator that specializes in purchasing and storing  
          gasoline.  The author believes that the reserve should not be  
          operated by the state itself.

          Opponents to this bill argue that this reserve will be expensive  
          to maintain and that it provides no assured benefit to  








                                                                  AB 2076
                                                                  Page  5

          California's consumers.  They are concerned that reserves would  
          not be provided to refiners in a fair manner and that refiners  
          would be forced to pay for reserves at a high cost and replace  
          the reserve at a lower cost.  Opponents also argue that CaRFG  
          cannot be stored for long periods of time and that there could  
          be potential impacts on air quality if gasoline were stored for  
          several months.  Finally, opponents are concerned that the state  
          is ill equipped to enter this complex gasoline marketplace.   

          Related legislation, AB 2098 (Migden), pending in the Assembly,  
          would require CEC to study the feasibility of financing,  
          constructing, and maintaining a new pipeline or expanding the  
          capacity of existing pipelines to transport fuel from the Gulf  
          Coast to California.  

          AB 2666 (Battin), pending in the Assembly, would allow for the  
          import and sale of federal reformulated gasoline, and imposes a  
          surcharge on this gasoline.

           
          Analysis Prepared by  :  Jennifer Gibson / TRANS. / (916) 319-2093  





                                                               FN:  0004868