BILL ANALYSIS 1 1 SENATE ENERGY, UTILITIES AND COMMUNICATIONS COMMITTEE MARTHA M. ESCUTIA, CHAIRWOMAN AB 151 - Laird Hearing Date: September 7, 2005 A As Amended: September 2, 2005 FISCAL B 1 5 1 DESCRIPTION Current law makes the California Energy Commission (CEC) responsible for monitoring transportation fuel supplies and prices in the state. Current law requires the CEC to biennially develop an integrated energy policy report that looks at issues of supply, demand, and supply reliability for transportation fuel. This bill establishes that it is the policy of the state that state agencies shall take every technologically feasible action needed to reduce the growth of petroleum consumption and to increase transportation energy efficiency and the use of alternative fuels in California. State agencies take this policy into account when adopting their rules and regulations. This bill does not authorize the imposition of any tax or fee on consumers of petroleum for on-road use or on petroleum refiners. This bill requires that by January 1, 2007, and every third year thereafter, the California Environmental Protection Agency (Cal-EPA) shall adopt recommendations, policies, and programs to reduce the rate of growth in petroleum consumption as well as increase transportation energy efficiency and the use of alternative fuels. This bill requires that by December 31, 2007, Cal-EPA shall publish a report assessing pollution violations by California refineries and the technological feasibility and health benefits of modernizing those refineries. This bill requires that by March 31, 2007, the Secretary of the Business, Transportation and Housing Agency, shall submit recommendations regarding alternative revenue sources to supplement lost tax revenue on gasoline and diesel fuel. This bill requires the Secretary for Environmental Protection to take action to influence the federal government to double the combined fuel economy of cars and light trucks by 2020. BACKGROUND Concern over high gasoline and diesel prices has recurred for many years. California experienced gasoline and diesel price spikes in 1996 ($1.50/gal), 1999 ($1.60/gal), 2000 ($1.80/gal) and, once again, in 2004. Since the beginning of 2004 gasoline prices have skyrocketed, nearly doubling from $1.62/gal to $2.77/gal. This year alone gasoline prices have increased 80 cents/gal. Diesel fuel prices have fared worse. Since 2004 diesel prices have increased by about $1/gal., from about $2.10 to a little more than $3/gal. Jet fuel prices have similarly increased. High fuel prices are having a chilling effect on other parts of the economy. In addition to fuel-intensive industries like airlines and package delivery services, retailers such as Wal-Mart are blaming high gas prices for forcing lower-income shoppers, and increasingly middle-income shoppers, to spend less. This country's primary response to high transportation fuel prices was the establishment of fuel efficiency standards for cars and light trucks. Known as the Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAF?) standard, it was established in 1985 at 27.5 mpg and has not increased since then. A 2001 study by the National Academy of Sciences concluded that a 40% increase in fuel economy could be achieved over 10-15 years at costs which would pay for themselves over the life of the vehicle. Pursuant to law<1>, the CEC and CARB also published a report on reducing California's petroleum fuel dependence.<2> Based on an analysis of options that are currently feasible and economical, the report recommended that California adopt a policy to reduce gasoline and diesel fuel demand to 15% below 2003 demand levels by 2020, and to maintain that level thereafter. A number of options are suggested for meeting the goal, including using more fuel efficient replacement tires, improving private vehicle maintenance, doubling the fuel efficiency of light duty vehicles, using natural gas-derived fuels as blending agents in ------------------------------- <1> AB 2076 (Shelley) -- Chapter 936 of the Statutes of 2000. <2> California Energy Commission and California Air Resources Board, Reducing California's Petroleum Dependence , August 2003, P600-03-005F. diesel fuel, and implementing fuel cell-powered vehicles. The report also recommended that the Governor and Legislature work with the California Congressional delegation and other states to double the national fuel economy standards. Lastly, the report recommended establishing a goal of increasing the use of non-petroleum fuels to 20% of on-road fuel consumption by 2020 and 30% by 2030. The CEC recently reported discouraging progress in implementing those recommendations.<3> The Bush Administration has recently proposed changes to the CAF? standard for light trucks which they argue will save billions of gallons of gas. Critics, such as the Union of Concerned Scientists, say that the changes are virtually meaningless. COMMENTS 1. Transportation Fuel an Essential Commodity - A consequence of Katrina and its disruption of the flow of transportation fuels is the renewed recognition of the importance of gasoline/diesel to the functioning of society. Long gasoline lines and the willingness of people to pay whatever it takes to fill up the tank are indicators of people's reliance on gasoline. Yet for such an essential commodity there is little in the way of price regulation. Arguably gasoline/diesel is every bit as important to society as electricity. Yet while California has a fairly comprehensive system for ensuring adequate supplies of electricity at reasonable prices, no comparable system exists for gasoline. Perhaps this is because historically unregulated gasoline markets led to ample supplies and reasonable, even cheap, prices. But that historical relationship now seems broken. 2. Prior Attempts to Reduce Price Have Failed - California policymakers have made many attempts to reduce gasoline/diesel costs. But each effort, from requiring gasoline distributors to divest themselves of their retail outlets to the establishment of a strategic fuel reserve to creation of an additional pipeline to Texas refiners, has failed because it was viewed as either unworkable or ineffective. Even an investigation into potential anti-competitive behavior by the Attorney General led nowhere. At least we're in good company. No other state has created a mechanism for lowering prices, save for Hawaii. (Hawaii has finally implemented wholesale price caps for ---------------------------- <3> California Energy Commission, 2004 Integrated Energy Policy Report Update , November 2004. gasoline, where prices are pegged to an index of mainland prices. This may prove useful an keeping Hawaii's prices comparable with those on the mainland, though the effect on retail prices is uncertain.) Unless Americans are willing to fundamentally change the relationship between government and the oil industry, gasoline prices will largely reflect the desires of OPEC and the investment choices of the oil industry. California has been virtually powerless to increase supplies of gasoline to reduce price. There is little California can do about crude oil price and refining costs and margins. But there may be something that can be done to reduce gasoline demand. That might reduce overall prices but, more importantly, by helping people use less it will reduce the burden of gasoline prices on their budgets. California's successful response to the 2001 electricity crisis was led by a massive demand reduction effort accompanied by a policy of encouraging the use of renewable energy. While this bill does not reflect the scale of that effort, it shares the strategy. 3. Katrina in California - A Katrina-style supply disruption could happen in California because refineries are concentrated in two areas of the state. Half of California's refining capacity exists within an 10 mile radius in the Los Angeles basin along the coast; 40% sits along a 20 mile stretch of the East Bay between Richmond and Benicia. Both areas sit within known earthquake zones. 4. Prior Legislation - SB 757 (Kehoe), heard earlier this year and approved by the committee, was a more ambitious and far reaching bill. That bill established a more stringent policy of a zero increase in petroleum consumption by 2010 and a significant reduction by 2020, authorized regulation of public agency fleet operators, and required Cal-EPA to adopt model rules and regulations to require refineries to install best available pollution control technology by 2016. 5. No Amendments - Pursuant to Senate rule 29.10, this bill may not be amended. ASSEMBLY VOTES Assembly Floor (45-0)* Assembly Budget Committee (14-0)* *Votes on a prior unrelated version of the bill POSITIONS Support: None on file Oppose: None on file Randy Chinn AB 151 Analysis Hearing Date: September 7, 2005