BILL ANALYSIS AB 67 Page 1 Date of Hearing: May 2, 2005 ASSEMBLY COMMITTEE ON UTILITIES AND COMMERCE Lloyd E. Levine, Chair AB 67 (Levine) - As Amended: May 2, 2005 SUBJECT : Public Utilities Commission: rates. SUMMARY : Requires the California Public Utilities Commission (PUC) to annually provide a 10-year forecast of the elements of electricity rates to the Legislature. Specifically, this bill : 1)Requires the PUC to provide to the Legislature by June 1, 2006, and by June 1 annually thereafter, a 10-year forecast of the elements in electricity rates within each class of ratepayers for each electrical corporation. 2)Permits the PUC to require submission of pro-forma analyses, debt-retirement schedules, amortization schedules, wholesale energy cost projections, resource plans, market assessments, and related outlooks from electrical corporations, gas corporations, and energy market participants. 3)Requires the PUC to include in the report a detailed description of any changes in projections or assumptions that may be different from the previous year's forecast. EXISTING LAW : 1)Requires all charges demanded or received by any public utility for any product or commodity shall be just and reasonable. 2)Prohibits a public utility from changing any rate or so alter any classification, contract, practice, or rule as to result in any new rate, except upon a showing before the PUC and a finding by the PUC that the new rate is justified. FISCAL EFFECT : Unknown. COMMENTS : According to the author, the purpose of this bill is to provide transparency of the elements of the electricity rates of the investor-owned utilities (IOUs). More specifically, the author is interested in when the elements of rates that resulted AB 67 Page 2 from deregulation, such as the costs associated with the State purchasing electricity for the IOUs and the Pacific Gas and Electric (PG&E) bankruptcy, will sunset or retire. In addition, the bill is intended to provide the Legislature with a clear understanding of the impacts proposals for new or augmented programs will have on electricity rates. 1) Background : During the energy crisis of 2000-01, electricity rates escalated. The State had to purchase electricity for the IOUs because they were not credit-worthy due to market rules that were in place at the time. As a result, PG&E declared bankruptcy. The State issued millions of dollars in bonds for the Department of Water Resources (DWR) to procure energy through long-term contracts on behalf of the IOUs. Some are concerned that these contracts are higher-priced because due to the energy crisis, the State was placed in an unfavorable bargaining position. Others point to provisions in the contracts that give the energy seller the choice of where the electricity will be delivered, which can drive up the price. Although many of the contracts have been renegotiated, each of these elements may have caused rates to increase. There was a general understanding that eventually, rates would decline back to more "normal" levels as the costs of the energy crisis and bond costs expired. It is difficult to determine whether that has happened, and if so, by how much. 2) DWR contracts and bond costs : There is uncertainty surrounding the annual costs of the DWR contracts and the bond debt. The DWR contracts are billed through the IOUs' generation charge, and some believe, put upward pressure on the price of electricity. Some of these contracts start to fall off sharply in about 2009 and completely expire by 2012. During the energy crisis, the State used General Fund moneys to purchase electricity, then issued about $11.9 billion in bonds to pay back the General Fund and provide funding for DWR to purchase additional power. The State issued 20-year bonds to get a favorable bond rate, and the bonds will be paid off in 2022. 3) The Cost Responsibility Surcharge : In July 2001, the Legislature directed the PUC to suspend direct access; however, the PUC did not formally suspend it until September 20, 2001. During the interim, many customers migrated to direct access, which was not saddled with the costs of the energy crisis. The PUC determined that existing IOU customers should not be AB 67 Page 3 burdened with a greater share of the costs of the energy crisis and initiated a rulemaking to develop a Cost Responsibility Surcharge (CRS) to mitigate this potential cost shifting. The extraordinary energy prices during the 2000-01 crisis also created an incentive for other customers to leave IOU service, called "departing load" other than direct access. Thus, the PUC applied the CRS principles to this departing load. The CRS includes DWR bond charges to recover financed historic shortfalls, DWR power charges, and Historic Procurement Charges (HPC) in SCE's territory resulting from departing load. The CRS is adjusted annually and the electric service providers are unable to predict or plan on these charges. According to California Manufacturers and Technology Association (CMTA), the methodology for determining the direct-access CRS (exit fee) causes significant delays in assessing direct-access customers for these charges. As of April 2005, direct-access customers do not have trued-up figures for 2003 or even estimates for 2004. They do not know the status of their CRS undercollection as of the end of 2004, or the accrual rate for 2005. According to CMTA, it is difficult for direct-access customers to make rational business decisions about whether to remain direct access, return to bundled service, or build self-generation, if they do not know, with any certainty, their past and prospective CRS liability. 4) Most recent legislative proposals : IOUs are currently expected to meet load growth and replace the DWR contracts over the next several years via the procurement process initiated by the PUC pursuant to AB 57 (Wright) Chapter 835, Statutes of 2002. The PUC has recently approved contracts for new power plants to serve IOU customers which will be completed in the 2006-09 timeframe. The IOUs are required to buy additional renewable power under long-term contracts pursuant to SB 1078 (Sher) Chapter 516, Statutes of 2002, in compliance with the Renewable Portfolio Standard (RPS). The Governor, the energy agencies, and pending legislation have endorsed accelerating the RPS schedule. Under the recent PUC long-term procurement decision (D.04-01-050), IOUs will be obligated to build or buy resources to meet a 15-17 percent reserve margin by 2008. The Governor has asked the PUC to accelerate achievement of the reserve margin by next summer. In addition, the energy agencies have adopted a goal of decreasing per-capita energy consumption. The IOUs and their customers are the primary vehicle to deliver AB 67 Page 4 all of the above. These initiatives, on top of existing obligations for utility generation, qualifying facilities, and DWR contracts, have uncertain effects on electricity rates. 5) Pandora's box : This bill would require the IOUs to forecast all elements within rates using a 10-year projection. According to Sempra, the forecasts may influence unanticipated business decisions or send misleading price signals to the markets. In addition, costs to serve customers, generation, transmission, and distribution, are addressed in the PUC forum and the forecast should not be deemed conclusive. Sempra added that this bill includes elements (generation, transmission, and distribution) that may not be the basis of determining the discretionary uncertainties, or the extra costs attributable to the energy crisis that this bill is intended to address. This concern has merit; however, if all rate elements are forecasted as required by this bill, legislative members would have a greater understanding of the effects of their proposals on the bottom line; customers' electricity rates. REGISTERED SUPPORT / OPPOSITION : Support None on file. Opposition None on file. Analysis Prepared by : Gina Mandy / U. & C. / (916) 319-2083