BILL ANALYSIS                                                                                                                                                                                                    



                                                                  AB 67
                                                                  Page  1

          Date of Hearing:   May 2, 2005

                    ASSEMBLY COMMITTEE ON UTILITIES AND COMMERCE
                               Lloyd E. Levine, Chair
                      AB 67 (Levine) - As Amended:  May 2, 2005
           
          SUBJECT  :   Public Utilities Commission: rates.

           SUMMARY  :   Requires the California Public Utilities Commission  
          (PUC) to annually provide a 10-year forecast of the elements of  
          electricity rates to the Legislature.  Specifically,  this bill  :   


          1)Requires the PUC to provide to the Legislature by June 1,  
            2006, and by June 1 annually thereafter, a 10-year forecast of  
            the elements in electricity rates within each class of  
            ratepayers for each electrical corporation.

          2)Permits the PUC to require submission of pro-forma analyses,  
            debt-retirement schedules, amortization schedules, wholesale  
            energy cost projections, resource plans, market assessments,  
            and related outlooks from electrical corporations, gas  
            corporations, and energy market participants.

          3)Requires the PUC to include in the report a detailed  
            description of any changes in projections or assumptions that  
            may be different from the previous year's forecast.

           EXISTING LAW  :

          1)Requires all charges demanded or received by any public  
            utility for any product or commodity shall be just and  
            reasonable.

          2)Prohibits a public utility from changing any rate or so alter  
            any classification, contract, practice, or rule as to result  
            in any new rate, except upon a showing before the PUC and a  
            finding by the PUC that the new rate is justified.

           FISCAL EFFECT  :   Unknown.

           COMMENTS  :   According to the author, the purpose of this bill is  
          to provide transparency of the elements of the electricity rates  
          of the investor-owned utilities (IOUs). More specifically, the  
          author is interested in when the elements of rates that resulted  








                                                                  AB 67
                                                                  Page  2

          from deregulation, such as the costs associated with the State  
          purchasing electricity for the IOUs and the Pacific Gas and  
          Electric (PG&E) bankruptcy, will sunset or retire.  In addition,  
          the bill is intended to provide the Legislature with a clear  
          understanding of the impacts proposals for new or augmented  
          programs will have on electricity rates.

          1)  Background  : During the energy crisis of 2000-01, electricity  
          rates escalated. The State had to purchase electricity for the  
          IOUs because they were not credit-worthy due to market rules  
          that were in place at the time. As a result, PG&E declared  
          bankruptcy. The State issued millions of dollars in bonds for  
          the Department of Water Resources (DWR) to procure energy  
          through long-term contracts on behalf of the IOUs. Some are  
          concerned that these contracts are higher-priced because due to  
          the energy crisis, the State was placed in an unfavorable  
          bargaining position. Others point to provisions in the contracts  
          that give the energy seller the choice of where the electricity  
          will be delivered, which can drive up the price. Although many  
          of the contracts have been renegotiated, each of these elements  
          may have caused rates to increase. There was a general  
          understanding that eventually, rates would decline back to more  
          "normal" levels as the costs of the energy crisis and bond costs  
          expired. It is difficult to determine whether that has happened,  
          and if so, by how much.

          2)  DWR contracts and bond costs  : There is uncertainty  
          surrounding the annual costs of the DWR contracts and the bond  
          debt. The DWR contracts are billed through the IOUs' generation  
          charge, and some believe, put upward pressure on the price of  
          electricity. Some of these contracts start to fall off sharply  
          in about 2009 and completely expire by 2012.

          During the energy crisis, the State used General Fund moneys to  
          purchase electricity, then issued about $11.9 billion in bonds  
          to pay back the General Fund and provide funding for DWR to  
          purchase additional power. The State issued 20-year bonds to get  
          a favorable bond rate, and the bonds will be paid off in 2022. 

          3)  The Cost Responsibility Surcharge  : In July 2001, the  
          Legislature directed the PUC to suspend direct access; however,  
          the PUC did not formally suspend it until September 20, 2001.  
          During the interim, many customers migrated to direct access,  
          which was not saddled with the costs of the energy crisis. The  
          PUC determined that existing IOU customers should not be  








                                                                  AB 67
                                                                  Page  3

          burdened with a greater share of the costs of the energy crisis  
          and initiated a rulemaking to develop a Cost Responsibility  
          Surcharge (CRS) to mitigate this potential cost shifting. The  
          extraordinary energy prices during the 2000-01 crisis also  
          created an incentive for other customers to leave IOU service,  
          called "departing load" other than direct access. Thus, the PUC  
          applied the CRS principles to this departing load.  The CRS  
          includes DWR bond charges to recover financed historic  
          shortfalls, DWR power charges, and Historic Procurement Charges  
          (HPC) in SCE's territory resulting from departing load.

          The CRS is adjusted annually and the electric service providers  
          are unable to predict or plan on these charges. According to  
          California Manufacturers and Technology Association (CMTA), the  
          methodology for determining the direct-access CRS (exit fee)  
          causes significant delays in assessing direct-access customers  
          for these charges. As of April 2005, direct-access customers do  
          not have trued-up figures for 2003 or even estimates for 2004.   
          They do not know the status of their CRS undercollection as of  
          the end of 2004, or the accrual rate for 2005.  According to  
          CMTA, it is difficult for direct-access customers to make  
          rational business decisions about whether to remain direct  
          access, return to bundled service, or build self-generation, if  
          they do not know, with any certainty, their past and prospective  
          CRS liability.  

          4)  Most recent legislative proposals  : IOUs are currently  
          expected to meet load growth and replace the DWR contracts over  
          the next several years via the procurement process initiated by  
          the PUC pursuant to AB 57 (Wright) Chapter 835, Statutes of  
          2002.  The PUC has recently approved contracts for new power  
          plants to serve IOU customers which will be completed in the  
          2006-09 timeframe.  The IOUs are required to buy additional  
          renewable power under long-term contracts pursuant to SB 1078  
          (Sher) Chapter 516, Statutes of 2002, in compliance with the  
          Renewable Portfolio Standard (RPS).  The Governor, the energy  
          agencies, and pending legislation have endorsed accelerating the  
          RPS schedule.  Under the recent PUC long-term procurement  
          decision (D.04-01-050), IOUs will be obligated to build or buy  
          resources to meet a 15-17 percent reserve margin by 2008.  The  
          Governor has asked the PUC to accelerate achievement of the  
          reserve margin by next summer. In addition, the energy agencies  
          have adopted a goal of decreasing per-capita energy consumption.

          The IOUs and their customers are the primary vehicle to deliver  








                                                                  AB 67
                                                                  Page  4

          all of the above.  These initiatives, on top of existing  
          obligations for utility generation, qualifying facilities, and  
          DWR contracts, have uncertain effects on electricity rates.

          5)  Pandora's box  : This bill would require the IOUs to forecast  
          all elements within rates using a 10-year projection. According  
          to Sempra, the forecasts may influence unanticipated business  
          decisions or send misleading price signals to the markets. In  
          addition, costs to serve customers, generation, transmission,  
          and distribution, are addressed in the PUC forum and the  
          forecast should not be deemed conclusive. Sempra added that this  
          bill includes elements (generation, transmission, and  
          distribution) that may not be the basis of determining the  
          discretionary uncertainties, or the extra costs attributable to  
          the energy crisis that this bill is intended to address. This  
          concern has merit; however, if all rate elements are forecasted  
          as required by this bill, legislative members would have a  
          greater understanding of the effects of their proposals on the  
          bottom line; customers' electricity rates.

           REGISTERED SUPPORT / OPPOSITION  :   

           Support 
           
          None on file.

           Opposition 
           
          None on file.
           
          Analysis Prepared by  :    Gina Mandy / U. & C. / (916) 319-2083