BILL ANALYSIS                                                                                                                                                                                                    



                                                                       



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                                 THIRD READING


          Bill No:  AJR 5
          Author:   Oropeza (D), et al
          Amended:  4/28/05 in Assembly
          Vote:     21

           
           SENATE ENER., UTIL. & COMMUN. COMMITTEE  :  7-3, 6/21/05
          AYES:  Escutia, Alarcon, Bowen, Dunn, Kehow, Murray,  
            Simitian
          NOES:  Morrow Campbell, Cox
          NO VOTE RECORDED:  Battin

           ASSEMBLY FLOOR  : 48-24, 04/28/05 - See last page for vote


           SUBJECT  :    Corporate average fuel economy standards

           SOURCE  :     Author


           DIGEST  :    This resolution requests the federal government  
                    to gradually double fuel efficiency standards.

           ANALYSIS  :    

          This resolution notes that:

          1.  Californians consume more than 18 billion gallons of  
            motor fuel annually.

          2.  Gasoline demand is projected to increase 1.6 percent  
            annually through 2020.

                                                           CONTINUED





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          3.  California's refineries are operating near capacity and  
            California is importing gasoline and diesel fuel to meet  
            growing demand.

          4.  Motor vehicle fuel economy dramatically affects fuel  
          demand.

          5.  A study adopted by the California Energy Commission  
            (CEC) and the California Air Resources Board determined  
            that doubling the fuel economy of the nation's light-duty  
            motor vehicle fleet is technically achievable;

          This resolution urges that Congress and the President  
          increase average fuel economy by 1.5 miles per gallon  
          annually until total average fuel economy for new light  
          duty motor vehicles sold in California is double today's  
          average.

           Background
           
          Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAFE) standards were  
          established by the federal government in 1975.  According  
          to the author, CAFE standards have increased new car and  
          truck fuel economy by 70 percent between 1975 and 1988,  
          though CAFE standards have not increased for cars since  
          1985.  Current California fuel economy for California cars  
          and light trucks are 27.5 mpg and 21 mpg respectively.   
          These averages have dropped a bit over the past few years  
          as Californians have purchased less fuel-efficient  
          vehicles.

          In a May 13, 2005 letter to Congressman Pete Domenici,  
          Chairman of the House Energy and Commerce Committee, the  
          Governor had this to say about motor vehicle fuel  
          efficiency:

               Between 1970 and 1985 on-road fuel economy of cars and  
               light-duty trucks in California increased from 12.6  
               miles per gallon to 20.7 mpg as a result of federal  
               CAFE standards.  Unfortunately, fuel economy has  
               actually decreased in recent years.  Because CAFE  
               standards have been largely unchanged since 1985, most  
               automotive technological improvements to engines and  
               vehicles have been used to increase performance and  







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               overcome gains in weight.  To avoid the adverse  
               environmental and economic consequences of our  
               nation's dependence on foreign petroleum fuels, I  
               strongly urge Congress to take advantage of these  
               existing technologies and to establish national fuel  
               economy standards that double the fuel efficiency of  
               new cars, light trucks and SUVs.

          Gasoline prices are at or near historic highs.  California  
          efforts to reduce gasoline prices and price volatility have  
          been consistently unsuccessful.

           Comments
           
          Increasing the CAFE standard will reduce gasoline and  
          diesel demand but will still keep transportation fuels  
          totally dependent on oil, most of which is foreign.  A  
          second, complementary strategy is to manufacture  
          transportation fuels from non-petroleum sources.  Typically  
          these fuels are made from agricultural crops, such as sugar  
          cane, and blended with traditional fuels.  Brazil has made  
          ethanol, derived from sugar cane, a significant  
          transportation fuel with Brazilian car companies  
          manufacturing vehicles that can operate on either gasoline  
          or blends of gasoline and ethanol.

          Rather than establish fuel economy standards, some nations  
          have instead substantially increased taxes on  
          transportation fuel.  Consequently gasoline in Western  
          Europe costs more than double what it costs in California.

          An argument against increasing CAFE standards is that  
          individuals can make their own decisions about fuel  
          economy.  When there is a demand for fuel efficient  
          vehicles car manufacturers will make them, as they have  
          with fuel efficient hybrids.  As oil supplies grow short  
          prices will increase, raising gasoline prices and causing  
          people to drive less while further encouraging car buyers  
          to purchase fuel efficient vehicles.  The weakness in this  
          argument is that oil supplies are tight and worldwide  
          demand is increasing rapidly; demand in China and India has  
          doubled in the last ten years.  This means that prices  
          could raise rapidly, a situation made worse because much of  
          the supply is held in politically volatile countries.  As  







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          evidence, consider that the price of oil has doubled since  
          2002.  While the American economy seems to have weathered  
          this jump in oil prices, it's clear that individual  
          motorists and certain businesses are feeling the pain.   
          Such pain can be moderated for everyone by increasing fuel  
          efficiency through an increase in the CAFE standard.

          In a sign that gasoline consumption is sensitive to price,  
          at least in the long term, sales of large,  
          energy-inefficient SUV's are down by about ten percent  
          since 2001, sales of Hummers were down 17 percent last  
          year.

          The United States will always be dependent on foreign oil,  
          as Americans consume 25 percent of the world's oil but have  
          less than three percent of its proven reserves.

          Related legislation:  SB 757 (Kehoe) requires state  
          agencies to take all feasible and cost effective actions to  
          reduce the growth of transportation fuel consumption,  
          increase transportation energy efficiency, and increase the  
          use of alternative transportation fuels.  This bill passed  
          the Senate 21-15 and is pending hearing in the Assembly.

           FISCAL EFFECT  :    Fiscal Com.:  No

           SUPPORT  :   (Verified  6/22/05)

          Association for Commuter Transportation 
          Attorney General
          California Air Pollution Control Officers' Association
          California Alliance for Consumer Protection
          California League of Conservation Voters
          Planning and Conservation League
          Sacramento Metropolitan Air Quality Management District
          Sierra Club California
          WalkSacramento


           ASSEMBLY FLOOR  : 
          AYES:  Arambula, Baca, Bass, Berg, Bermudez, Canciamilla,  
            Chan, Chavez, Chu, Cohn, Coto, De La Torre, Dymally,  
            Evans, Frommer, Goldberg, Hancock, Harman, Jerome Horton,  
            Shirley Horton, Jones, Karnette, Klehs, Koretz, Laird,  







                                                                 AJR 5
                                                                Page  
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            Leno, Levine, Lieber, Liu, Matthews, Montanez, Mullin,  
            Nation, Nava, Negrete McLeod, Oropeza, Pavley, Richman,  
            Ridley-Thomas, Ruskin, Saldana, Salinas, Torrico, Umberg,  
            Vargas, Wolk, Yee, Nunez
          NOES:  Aghazarian, Blakeslee, Bogh, Cogdill, Daucher,  
            DeVore, Garcia, Haynes, Houston, Keene, La Malfa, Leslie,  
            Maze, McCarthy, Mountjoy, Niello, Parra, Plescia, Sharon  
            Runner, Spitzer, Strickland, Villines, Walters, Wyland
          NO VOTE RECORDED:  Benoit, Calderon, Emmerson, Gordon,  
            Huff, La Suer, Nakanishi, Tran


          NC:do  6/22/05   Senate Floor Analyses 

                         SUPPORT/OPPOSITION:  SEE ABOVE

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