BILL ANALYSIS                                                                                                                                                                                                            1
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                 SENATE ENERGY, UTILITIES AND COMMUNICATIONS COMMITTEE
                                DEBRA BOWEN, CHAIRWOMAN
          

          SB 304 -  Morrow                                  Hearing Date:   
          May 6, 2003                S
          As Amended:         April 7, 2003                 Non-FISCAL        
          B
                                                                        
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                                       DESCRIPTION
           
           Current law  finds the distribution and sale of motor fuels affect  
          the general economy of the state, the public interest, and the  
          public welfare, and competition and freedom from unreasonable  
          discriminatory practices are essential to the fair and efficient  
          functioning of a free market economy.

           Current law  makes it unlawful for any refiner to discriminate  
          between purchasers where the effect is to decrease competition,  
          and provides for treble damages in cases where a refiner is  
          convicted of engaging in such discriminatory practices.

           Current law  establishes procedures for the transfer of any  
          gasoline dealer franchise and limits the ability of the franchisor  
          to deny a franchise transfer.

           This bill  makes numerous findings and declarations, including:

           The marketing of motor fuel in California has become highly  
            concentrated;
           This concentration and the use of certain marketing practices  
            has resulted in artificially high wholesale and retail gasoline  
            prices;
           California refiners have inflated profits through higher  
            gasoline prices by utilizing practices that encourage reduced  
            production, low inventories, and the formation of import  
            barriers, all under the guise of meeting California's clean  
            burning fuel mandate;
           This conduct is harmful to consumers and the economy of  
            California and should be prohibited.











         This bill  limits the price at which refiners can sell motor fuels  
        to any franchisee service station dealer.  That price is the  
        lowest wholesale price, calculated in a specified manner, which  
        the refiner charges to stations which it operates ("owned and  
        operated" or "O&O" stations) that are served by the same truck  
        loading terminal.

         This bill  bars refiners from setting, attempting to set,  
        controlling, or economically influencing, either directly or  
        indirectly, the retail price or profit margins of motor fuel sold  
        at any retail service station other than O&O stations.

         This bill  bars refiners from taking ownership of or controlling  
        any service station owned by an independent dealer after January  
        1, 2005.  However, refiners may temporarily operate such stations  
        for up to 90 days under specified circumstances.

         This bill  provides if any provision is held invalid, the remaining  
        of the provisions shall remain valid.

                                     BACKGROUND
         
        Despite being home to a number of oil refineries, Californians  
        can't seem to shake high gasoline prices.   In 1996, California  
        gasoline prices spiked from $1.15/gal to $1.47.  In 1999, gasoline  
        prices spiked again, rising as much as $0.50/gal higher than the  
        rest of the nation.  Earlier this year, gas prices spiked yet  
        again, this time from $1.57/gal to $2.15/gal.  Each of these price  
        spikes prompted public outcries, legislative responses, and, in  
        1999, an investigation by the Attorney General.

        The current concerns over gasoline prices prompted the Governor to  
        order an investigation by the California Energy Commission (CEC).   
        That investigation noted gasoline prices climbed 36% from the  
        beginning of the year through March 17, which if sustained will  
        cost consumers more than $20 million per day.  The cause of the  
        price increases was attributed to large increases in the price of  
        oil due to uncertainty about the U.S.-Iraq war, an oil strike in  
        Venezuela, and a cold winter in the eastern U.S.  Refiners also  
        switched from a winter gas formula to a summer formula, which is  
        typically more expensive to produce and, during the switchover,  
        temporarily tightens supplies.  Additional gasoline demand in  
        Phoenix reduced California supplies further, as did the move to  
        phase-out the use of MTBE.










           Current Market Structure
           
          California has 16 refiners, 6 of which control 86% of the refining  
          capacity in the state.  The largest refiners are vertically  
          integrated, owning crude oil supplies, refining operations, and  
          retail distributors.  About 15% of all California gas stations are  
          owned and operated by dealers who are independent from refiners,  
          15% are owned and operated (O&O) by the refiner, and 70% are  
          franchisees of the refiners.  All franchisees are contractually  
          obligated to obtain their gasoline from the refiner at prices  
          established by the refiner, making the franchisee dependent on his  
          competitor to provide him with his product.

           Attorney General Report
           
          In 1999, the Attorney General opened an investigation into the  
          activities of the refiners to determine whether they were  
          operating in a non-competitive manner in violation of California  
          and/or federal law.  This investigation in ongoing, but has yet to  
          result in any prosecutions.

          The Attorney General also convened a Task Force on gasoline  
          pricing.  A summary of the Task Force discussion was published in  
          May 2000 in a report entitled "Report on Gasoline Pricing in  
          California."   A preliminary report provided to the Attorney  
          General noted three contributing factors to California's  
          relatively high gas prices:

           A relative lack of competition in California's gasoline refining  
            and marketing industry;
           Supply constraints related to California's unique cleaner  
            burning gasoline requirement;
           Somewhat higher state taxes.

          In a recent update, the Attorney General suggested considering the  
          following proposals:

           Creating a strategic fuel reserve;
           Increasing fuel economy standards and encouraging non-gasoline  
            based technology;
           Enabling gas dealers to shop for the best wholesale prices;
           Examining ways to import more fuel into the state.

           Prior Legislation
           









        The lack of any finding of anti-competitive behavior doesn't mean  
        the state's gasoline market is truly competitive because legal  
        behavior may still lead to unfair prices.  For that reason, there  
        have been many efforts to change existing law.  Two bills were  
        successfully enacted during the last gasoline price spike were:  

         AB 2076 (Shelly), Chapter 936, Statutes of 2000, required the  
          CEC to examine the feasibility of operating a strategic gasoline  
          reserve to buffer the state from any temporary gasoline supply  
          disruptions.  The bill also required the CEC to develop  
          recommendations for reducing California's petroleum  
          independence.  The CEC expects to issue these reports in the  
          next few months.
         AB 2098 (Migden), Chapter 963, Statutes of 2000, required the  
          CEC to examine the feasibility of building a pipeline from the  
          Gulf Coast to California.  The CEC expects to issue this report  
          in the next few months.

         California vs. The Other 49 States
         
        Since the mid-1990's, California's gasoline has been generally  
        more expensive than gas found in other states and that difference  
        has been more pronounced during price spikes.  There are two major  
        causes.  The first is that in 1996, California switched to a  
        unique type of gasoline that burns cleaner than gas sold in most  
        other states.  Few non-California refiners produce this type of  
        gasoline, making it difficult for additional supplies to be  
        imported into California.  When prices in California rise, the  
        non-California refiners that choose not to produce "California  
        gas" aren't able to ship gasoline in to keep prices down.  

        The second major cause is the increasing consolidation among  
        refiners.  In 1980, there were 35 refiners operating in  
        California.  By 1990, only 25 refiners were operating and by 1998,  
        that number had dwindled to 16.  Accompanying the consolidation of  
        refiners was an increase in vertical integration, so now 85% of  
        all retail service stations are owned, operated, or controlled by  
        refiners.

        A relatively constant factor that keeps California gasoline more  
        expensive is gasoline taxes, which are on average five cents  
        higher than the other states.  However, higher taxes contribute a  
        relatively small amount to California's price discrepancy with  
        other states - in fact, California's gasoline taxes are actually  
        lower than those in Nevada.










           Oil Company Profitability
           
          If the allegations of anti-competitive behavior and price gouging  
          are true, then the profitability of the oil companies should be  
          high.  It isn't particularly useful to examine the return on  
          equity (ROE) for the oil companies, since their California  
          refining and marketing operations are a relatively small part of  
          their overall business.  In any event, the ROE's for the major oil  
          companies are unremarkable, comparable to that of the major  
          utilities, notwithstanding ExxonMobil's recent record first  
          quarter profit of $7 billion.

          The only publicly available measure of profitability for the  
          California operations of the major oil companies is refinery cost  
          and profit data kept by the CEC.  By determining the average  
          wholesale price and subtracting from it the price of crude oil,  
          the CEC determines how much is left to pay for the cost of  
          refining and to provide the refiner with a profit, known as the  
          refinery margin.  This is a rough calculation based on aggregated  
          data that doesn't incorporate all actual wholesale transactions.  

                          2002        2001        2000        1999        1998  
          Refinery Margin/gal      $0.40     $0.58     $0.42     $0.40    
          $0.32

          In March 2003, the refinery margin averaged $0.63/gal and in the  
          first two weeks of April it was $0.68/gal.  This is an unusually  
          high margin that many wouldn't expect to find in a truly  
          competitive market.

                                        COMMENTS
           
           1.We'll Pay What They're Paying  .  This bill is premised under the  
            belief that oil companies can keep gas prices artificially high  
            because they control retail markets through their O&O stations  
            and through their control over the wholesale price of gas to  
            their franchisees.  This level of control allows the oil  
            companies to pinpoint their response to whatever competition  
            exists by lowering prices only in specific locations. 

            This bill forces the oil companies to lower wholesale prices on  
            a regional basis rather than only in specific locations.  These  
            regions are defined as the area served by a truck loading  
            terminal and could be as large as northern California between  









          Sacramento, Chico, and Lake Tahoe, or as small as the San  
          Francisco peninsula.  

          Under the bill, the "allowable wholesale price" means an oil  
          company franchisee can't be charged more than an imputed  
          wholesale price for gas retailed by any O&O station in that  
          region.  That imputed price is calculated as the retail price  
          less the cost of retailing, which includes labor, overhead for  
          the property, and other costs incurred with the retail activity.  
           (This is referred to as the "market retail price" in the bill,  
          a somewhat confusing term that  the author and committee may wish  
          to consider altering for the sake of clarity.)  As an example,  
          if an O&O Shell station in Chico is charging $2.00/gal and the  
          cost of retailing the gas is $0.30/gal, then the imputed  
          wholesale price is $1.70/gal.  Every franchised Shell dealer in  
          the region, which includes Chico, would be entitled under this  
          bill to buy their gasoline at no more than $1.70/gal.

          Under this system, an oil company that lowers its retail price  
          at one specific location would be required to provide gasoline  
          to its franchisees in the same region at a wholesale price based  
          on that retail price.  This is, in effect, establishing a  
          maximum wholesale price for each region. 

         2.Does This Create An Incentive For An Oil Company To Replace Its  
          Franchisees?   This type of pricing mechanism could create an  
          incentive for an oil company to replace its franchisees, thereby  
          freeing it to compete in selective locations.

          This bill attempts to foreclose that possibility by preventing a  
          refiner from acquiring any of its existing franchised stations.   
          However, it doesn't require a refiner to sell any of its O&O  
          stations, nor does it prevent a refiner from opening any new O&O  
          stations.   The author and committee may wish to consider  whether  
          it's appropriate to preclude an oil company from buying a  
          station from one of its franchisees.  While the intent of this  
          provision is clearly to prevent an oil company from "forcing" a  
          franchisee to sell his or her station, there presumably many  
          reasons why a franchisee may want to voluntarily sell his or her  
          station.  Should the latter occur, this bill precludes the oil  
          company from purchasing such a station.

          The bill also contains a broad provision which bars any refiner  
          from setting, attempting to set, control, or economically  
          influence, either directly or indirectly, the retail price or  









            profit margin of any motor fuel sold anywhere except O&O  
            stations.

           3.Will Region Pricing Create An Incentive To Keep All Prices High?   
            This bill forces oil companies that lower wholesale prices for  
            one specific location to lower them for all locations in a given  
            region (defined as the area served by a truck loading terminal).  
             

            Establishing a maximum regional price is arguably "fairer" to  
            franchisees, since it will mean all sellers of a refiner's  
            branded gasoline will pay close to the same wholesale price for  
            that gas.  No longer will a franchisee have to compete against  
            an O&O station that gets gas at a lower price.

            However, this provision may simply create an incentive for the  
            refiner not to lower any prices, since lowering them in one spot  
            effectively lowers them in all locations across the region.

            A maximum regional price also won't help with the regional price  
            differences that have caused so much concern.  It's possible the  
            bill will exacerbate those differences as refiners make up for  
            lost margins in the more competitive regions (e.g. Los Angeles)  
            by increasing prices in the less competitive regions (e.g. San  
            Francisco).

           4.Enforcement  .  Enforcing this bill won't be easy.  In addition to  
            keeping daily track of the retail price for all the  
            company-owned stations in a region, someone will need to  
            determine the cost of retailing for each station so the imputed  
            wholesale price can be determined. 

            The provision barring a refiner from setting, attempting to set,  
            control, or economically influence, either directly or  
            indirectly, the retail price or profit margin of any motor fuel  
            sold anywhere except O&O stations is very broad and imprecise,  
            making it difficult to comply with and enforce.  For example,  
            refiners by definition "indirectly economically influence" every  
            franchisee's profit margin since the refiner sets the price  
            their franchisees pay for gas.  Because current law already bars  
            price discrimination,  the author and committee may wish to  
            consider  whether this provision is necessary, and, if so, how it  
            can be narrowed.

           5.Regulations vs. The Free Market  .  The refining and marketing of  









          gasoline isn't economically regulated, so wholesalers and  
          retailers are free to negotiate deals and set prices as they see  
          fit.  By the same token, people who drive (and need gasoline)  
          are free to choose from a wide variety of vehicles that vary  
          greatly in terms of their fuel efficiency (thereby giving people  
          the chance to stretch their gasoline dollars).  They can also  
          choose not to drive at all.

          This gasoline free market has regularly resulted in prices which  
          drivers view as unfair, sometimes because California prices are  
          far higher than other states, sometimes because  some regions  
          within California pay higher prices than other regions, and  
          sometimes because the prices just don't comport with what people  
          think they ought to be paying for gasoline.

          The fundamental question is whether the market for gasoline can  
          ever produce outcomes that satisfy everyone.  Drivers want low  
          and stable prices and in an ideal, fully competitive market with  
          many buyers and many sellers, that could happen much like it  
          does in markets for food and consumer electronics.  The current  
          gasoline world doesn't look like that - there are many buyers,  
          few sellers, and little prospect for additional sellers.  Couple  
          those realities with a demand for gas that's barely effected by  
          its price and you get a world where price spikes are inevitable.

          The imbalance between California gasoline supply and the demand  
          for it is likely to continue to grow.  Supply is constrained by  
          virtue of California's unique cleaner burning gasoline, while on  
          the demand side, Californians have exhibited an ever-growing  
          thirst for gasoline.  While the average fuel economy of gasoline  
          vehicles in California rose from 12.4 mpg in 1972 to 19.5 mpg in  
          1992, that improvement has virtually ceased: In 2002 the average  
          was 20.8 mpg.  Coincident with this stagnant improvement in fuel  
          economy, the volume of gasoline sold in California has risen  
          steadily since 1992, from 13.1 billion gallons to more than 15  
          billion gallons in 2002. 
         
        6.Other Answers  .  The ongoing spate of gasoline price spikes has  
          generated several ideas for reducing prices:

           ?    Reducing the demand for gasoline can dramatically help  
             with prices, as was seen during the recent electricity  
             crisis.  Improving vehicle fuel efficiency, either by  
             increasing the efficiency of each vehicle or encouraging the  
             use of more fuel-efficient vehicles, could be accomplished  









               through incentives or mandates.

             ?    Linking California's gasoline market to the rest of the  
               country could make it harder to manipulate California prices.  
                One proposal would allow non-California gas to be imported  
               and subject it to a pollution surcharge fee to mitigate the  
               increased pollution caused by use of the dirtier  
               non-California gas.  If wholesale prices in California were  
               higher than those in  other states, there would be an  
               economic incentive to import the non-California gas (assuming  
               the price difference still existed with the inclusion of the  
               mitigation fee).  The success of this proposal rests on the  
               ability of California gas dealers to access non-California  
               gas, which they may be barred from pursuant to their  
               franchise agreements.

             ?    The Foundation for Taxpayer and Consumer Rights (FTCR), a  
               non-profit education and advocacy foundation, suggests  
               limiting refiners to being able to sell a single grade of  
               gasoline.  It argues this would make it harder for refiners  
               to limit inventories, which FTCR believes is the cause for  
               high gasoline prices.  How this would affect vehicles that,  
               according to manufacturers, require a higher grade of gas is  
               unclear.

             ?    The President Pro Tempore of the Senate has announced the  
               creation of a Select Committee on Gasoline Zone Pricing.  The  
               members of the committee have not yet been announced.
           
          1.Technically Speaking  .   The author and committee may wish to  
            consider  adopting the following technical amendments:

             v    Page 4, Line 18 - the term "convert" should be replaced  
               with "acquire."
             v    Page 4, Line 30 - the term "truck loading terminal" is  
               imprecise and should be refined.
             v    Page 4, Line 33 - the term "process" should be replaced  
               with "price."

           1.Related Legislation  .  AB 146 (Kehoe) allows franchisees to shop  
            for their gasoline at any wholesale outlet operated by the  
            franchisor via a mechanism, known as "branded open supply".  AB  
            146 is similar to SB 123 (Peace), which was approved by the full  
            Senate in 1999 before dying in the Assembly Utilities & Commerce  
            Committee.  AB 146 is pending in the Assembly Business &  









          Professions Committee.

                                      POSITIONS
         
         Sponsor:
         
        Author

         Support:
         
        Automotive Repair Coalition
        Automotive Trade Organizations of California, Inc.
        California Service Station and Automotive Repair Association
        California Small Business Association
        Oyster Petroleum, Inc.
        South Bay Shell & Car Wash
        The Foundation For Taxpayer and Consumer Rights
        Utility Consumers'  Action Network

         Oppose:
         
        A. Juner Chevrons
        Bigge Crane and Rigging Company
        California Chamber of Commerce
        California Independent Oil Marketers Association
        California Manufacturers & Technology Association
        Chevron dealer in San Mateo County
        ENTRIX, Inc.
        Redman Equipment and Manufacturing
        Western States Petroleum Association

        

        Randy Chinn 
        SB 304 Analysis
        Hearing Date:  May 6, 2003