BILL ANALYSIS                                                                                                                                                                                                    



                                                                  AB 5 X2
                                                                  Page  1

          Date of Hearing:   June 18, 2001

                 ASSEMBLY COMMITTEE ON ENERGY COSTS AND AVAILABILITY
                              Roderick D. Wright, Chair
                   AB 5 X2 (Kelley) - As Introduced:  May 15, 2001
           
          SUBJECT  :   Rates: baseline quantities.

           SUMMARY  :   This bill requires that the baseline quantity  
          identified for Climatic Zone 15 in Riverside County be doubled  
          as of the effective date of the measure.

           EXISTING LAW  : Establishes five tiers of rates for customers  
          throughout California for electricity and gas usage, based on  
          baseline quantities.  Higher rates are charged at usage above  
          130% of baseline and the highest rates occur at levels above  
          200% of baseline.

          Establishes baseline quantities for electricity and gas  
          consumption for 19 specific zones in California, with the  
          baseline amounts adjustable annually based on average usage in  
          the area. 

           FISCAL EFFECT  :   Unknown.

           COMMENTS  :   

          The author of this measure draws attention to the unique  
          climatic circumstances applicable to Southern California Edison  
          (SCE) Zone 15, encompassing the Coachella Valley in Riverside  
          County.  The author requests that the baseline quantity for this  
          zone be doubled in statute upon the effective date of the  
          measure.

          A survey of the nineteen unique climatic zones identified for  
          the three investor owned utilities (IOUs) demonstrates a range  
          of baselines quantities for the summer months from a low for  
          combined gas/electric service in Pacific Gas and Electric (PG&E)  
          service zone Z of 192 kilowatt hours (kWh) to a high in SCE Zone  
          15 for either combined gas/electric or all electric service of  
          1281 kWh.  It is understandable that customers in regions which  
          suffer from extreme heat are concerned about the allowable  
          baseline usage levels in their area, especially where the use of  
          air conditioning is more a health and safety than a comfort  
          factor.








                                                                  AB 5 X2
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          The baseline quantities reflect an average level of usage for  
          each specified areas, and as illustrated by the difference  
          between the low summer baseline in PG&E Zone Z and the high  
          baseline in SCE Zone 15, climatic differences are taken into  
          account.  Baseline represents 60 to 70 percent of average  
          residential consumption for all electric customers for each  
          area, and rates for customers at or below baseline and up to  
          130% of baseline (90% of average usage) are not subject to the  
          large rate increases recently imposed by California Public  
          Utilities Commission (CPUC). 

          The CPUC is required to review and revise baseline quantities as  
          average consumption patterns change in order to maintain the  
          ratios established for baseline quantities.  Since rates for  
          consumption above 130% of baseline are significantly higher than  
          rates below that level, the signal from this rate structure is  
          for conservation.   The downside to the sort of conservation  
          this rate structure necessarily imposes on most customers, is  
          that usage patterns assume a downward trend and baseline gets  
          adjusted down to an even lower than existing level of  
          consumption.  For customers in Zone 15 1281 kWh up to 1665 kWh  
          (100 and 130% of baseline) may be reasonable amounts of  
          consumption with significant conservation, but they may  
          represent comparative hardship in harsh weather.  It is  
          significant to point out that all consumption at these levels  
          and below is billed at the lower rates and only that amount of  
          consumption exceeding 130% of baseline is billed at one of the  
          higher tiers of rates.  Conservation during mild weather can  
          make all the difference in the rates billed for a summer month.

           Staff recommends
           
          Given that the level of baseline usage identified for SCE Zone  
          15 already far exceeds baseline usage anywhere else in the  
          state, it may not be advisable to double that baseline amount at  
          this time.  Such an increase does not encourage conservation,  
          and the larger quantities of electricity that may likely be  
          consumed in this Zone due to the lower rate structure, may lead  
          to shortages of electricity elsewhere.  

          What may be a consideration to encourage without punishing  
          conservation is a two-year moratorium on downward adjustment of  
          existing baseline quantities.  The current high rates cause  
          customers to make harsh decisions about consumption due to  








                                                                  AB 5 X2
                                                                  Page  3

          affordability.  As rates normalize, consumption patterns will  
          also normalize.  Holding off on any downward adjustment to  
          existing baseline quantities until a full two-year average can  
          be considered may be prudent in order not to punish current  
          conservation levels, which may be at the expense of customer  
          comfort.   

           REGISTERED SUPPORT / OPPOSITION  :   

           Support 
           
          None on file.

           Opposition 
           
          None on file.
           
          Analysis Prepared by  :    Kelly Boyd / E. C. & A. / (916)  
          319-2083